Could it be possible that the threat of ISIS will end?
Unlike Al-Qaeda and its derivatives, ISIS predicated its unique character on the development of a Caliphate, based on a piece of land, a stand-alone geographic entity.
Now that concept dissipates as the Caliphate comes under siege. In Mosul ISIS fighters are slowly driven from the city. And Raqqa, the “capital” of ISIS, will soon be under attack.
What will be the consequences of ISIS’ loss of territory when the geographic Caliphate no longer exists? Will they have any lasting political or inspirational power? Will they still show up here and there when they bomb a car or a building or take hostages?
Will they appear again in another form like Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula?
But their political strength rested on a specific tract of land. Surely, they will diminish.
February 26, 2020
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