The Disaster that is Yemen

The Yemen disaster continues. The Saudis and the Houthi representatives appear to agree to a ceasefire, but it this genuine? The Saudis say they support the remnant of the old Hadi government, which has retreated to the southern Yemeni city of Aden.

Meanwhile, the Houthis ask for relief from the bombardment of Hodeidah,  their only effective port city. (I fondly recall swimming on the beach there and sampling the seafood in a shore dinner. But no more of this, probably ever, for me.)

The Houthis also want the airport at Sana’a to be opened, as opposed to the Hadi government desiring Aden to be the country’s main airport.

Are these disagreements resolved? i doubt it. The Saudis, under Mohammed bin Salman, seem to still want blood. And without the help of the Saudis, the Houthis, supported by Iran, will likely emerge.

The UN has stated that the famine in Yemen is the world’s worst in the last 100 years!

And the US has supported the continuation of this man-made disaster.


Contrast: Jordan v. U.S for Acceptance of Refugees

I just returned from a trip to Jordan for medical work with refugees.

Jordan is a Muslim country. The population of Jordan is about 9 million. They have taken in about 800,000 refugees. While the country has had a host of problems, they have weathered onslaught with, for the most part, with no violence.

The US is a “Christian” country. Our population is about 330 million. We have agreed. to take in only about 45,000 refugees per year.  The daily TV news from the President ramps up anti-refugee spirit among our population.

The Khashoggi Thing

By now, it’s clear Jamal Khashoggi is dead. He has been missing for more than two weeks.  And it also seems clear the Saudis were, in some way, responsible. And of the potential guilty parties, Mohammed bin Salman, is the most likely perpetrator. This sort of operation is typical for the Crown Prince. And it is likely his father, King Salman, knew nothing of the operation, which allows him plausible deniability.

What should the US do? This is the problem at hand. Aside from the pricey arms deal, the war in Yemen,  and multilevel business relationships, the real issue is that Saudi Arabia is our essential counterpoint to Iran in the Middle East. We can’t escape this part of the relationship.

While some sanctions or other such punishments may be delivered to save face for the US, we will not walk away from our overall relationship with the Saudis.

Qatar Penalized For Shia Leanings?

Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE still persist with  their boycott of Qatar, in effect, making them the outcast of the Gulf.

The stated reason for the boycott of Qatar is that they are operative in causing unrest and interference in the governments of the Gulf. Underlying this reason is Qatar’s supposed positive relationship with Iran.

This continues as Saudi Arabia and the UAE proceed with their war on Yemen, a one-sided war in which only one combatant (the Saudis) has the means to inflict damage on the other. The US supports the Saudi war effort.

At least in part, this face-off is another facet of the age-old Sunni-Shia conflict. For most of its 1400 year history, with only isolated exceptions, this conflict has been relatively minor. There has often been intermarriage between the groups.

The question for our day is whether the present Sunni-Shia strife might erupt into something totally unanticipated

Is the Syrian War Over?

The last rebel bastion in Syria, Idlib, may soon fall to Assad and the Russian troops assisting him. The US appears to have no intention to reverse this conclusion. Syria will become, or already has become, a Russian proxy state. Russia will have its desired seaport and Assad as her ally.

Syrian forces will then extract penalties on all resisting parties still in the country. We will never know the number of casualties.

The US never had a choice. Obama knew this, and so does Trump. We couldn’t afford to risk another failed state in the Middle East. We had no appetite for another Iraq.

And the Syrian refugees in Jordan and Turkey? Those who can return will return, to what they deem to be a country under the control of Assad. I’m told the refugees are already beginning to go back to their homeland. As amazing as it sounds, Assad has won.

Review of THE NEW MIDDLE EAST by James L Gelvin

I just finished Gelvin’s new book, The New Middle East. This brief treatise is a must for all who try to keep up with the Middle East.

It is, in many ways, a sad book, because the outcome frankly seems hopeless. And I agree with the facts and most of his conclusions.

A couple of brief examples suffice. First, the educational system in the Middles East. Gelvin correctly notes that the teaching system in the area fails to emphasize critical thinking. Most of the time is spent on rote memory and repetition. This observation comports with my experience in teaching medical students. They were quite familiar with the textbooks and lecture notes. But when faced with a patient where integration of facts and principles was required, they consistently had trouble reaching a useful synthesis.

Another obvious area is the fact that women are second class citizens. Even in the best circumstance, women are not fully engaged in the betterment of their society, and this is not their fault. They are not allowed to participate as are the men. The obvious consequence is that the states in the Middle East automatically sacrifice nearly half of their possible productivity.

Gelvin’s little book is clear and beautifully written.  The readability is enhanced by his use of a question and answer format.

The Final Blow for Yemen?

I recall my visit to Hodeidah, Yemen several years ago, when the country was at relative peace. The city lies on the eastern coast of the Red Sea.  The beach was not glorious and nothing like the beach on the Egyptian side where the rich Western tourists come for their vacations. We went for a swim in a deserted area and the water was not clear. We walked along the shore toward town where the fishermen brought in their catch. Unlike the Egyptians who restricted fishing in order to preserve the creatures for their luxury dive trade, the Yemenis harvested as much as they could. We stopped at a fish seller, asked them to carve off a fresh piece, and they cooked it for us over their charcoal fire. The next day our Yemeni hosts took us to an outdoor restaurant. Under a tent we ate with perhaps twenty Yemeni men and consumed the best fish and shrimp I’ve ever had.

But those days are over.

The Saudis and UAE , with US logistical assistance, are waging war against the Houthi army, the latter supported by Iran. Hodeidah is now the critical port for the shipment of supplies of all kinds into Yemen. This shipping entry point supplies more than two-thirds of the necessary goods for Yemen.  This includes medicines, food, and other life essentials. The capital, Sanaa, is utterly dependent on the shipments arriving in Hodeidah. Under bombardment from the Saudis, the supply ships can no longer safely dock at the port.

Is this the final choke point for Yemen? The country can’t survive without these supplies.

There is another possibility. The Iranians may see it as their duty to increase their support for the Houthis. Will all the combatants be drawn into a wider conflict?

Biblical Reasons for Helping Immigrants

Is there an undercurrent in the US that demeans foreigners among us? Do we cross the street to avoid them? Are we afraid they’ll hurt us? Are we afraid they’ll take our jobs?

What does Scripture say about treatment of immigrants (often referred to as sojourners)?

Well, there are tons of examples. Here are a few:

“There shall be one law for the native and for the stranger who sojourns among you.” Exodus 12:49

“When a stranger sojourns with you in your land, you shall not do him wrong. You shall treat the stranger who sojourns with you as the native among you, and you shall love him as yourself, for you were strangers in the land of Egypt: I am the Lord your God.” Leviticus 19:33-34

“You shall not oppress a sojourner. You know the heart of a sojourner, for you were sojourners in the land of Egypt.” Exodus 23:9

“‘Cursed be anyone who perverts the justice due to the sojourner, the fatherless, and the widow.’ And all the people shall say, ‘Amen.’” Deuteronomy 27:19
“Do not neglect to show hospitality to strangers, for thereby some have entertained angels unawares.” Hebrews 13:2
“For the whole law is fulfilled in one word: “You shall love your neighbor as yourself.” Galatians 5:14
Pretty clear.
And saying “There are just too many of them,” isn’t mentioned in Scripture.

Is Present-Day Israel the Fulfillment of Biblical Prophecy

The opening of the US Embassy to Israel in Jerusalem has elevated the old controversy once again. Is present-day Israel the fulfillment of Biblical prophecy?

Beginning in 1948 with the new State of Israel, many evangelicals began to develop the position that God was bringing His prophecies concerning Israel to a conclusion.  This position has been expressed in association with the doctrine known as dispensational premillenialism. Apart from details of that doctrine, however, stands the idea that the events we are seeing today reflect the immediate culmination of the Biblical prophecy. Psalm 132:13 says, “For the Lord has chosen Zion; He as desired it for his dwelling place.” And Ezekiel 5:5, “Thus says the Lord God: This is Jerusalem. I have set her in the center of the nations, with countries all around her.” And Zechariah 12:5 “Then the clans of Judah shall say to themselves, ‘The inhabitants of Jerusalem have strength through the Lord of hosts, their God.'”

Other passages detract from the view that we are seeing the endgame of prophecy in present-day Jerusalem. Romans 2:28 says, “For no one is a Jew who is merely one outwardly, nor is circumcision outward and physical.” And Galatians 3:8 “And the Scripture, foreseeing that God would justify the Gentiles by faith, preached the gospel beforehand to Abraham saying, ‘In you shall all the nations be blessed.'”

The State of Israel today is similar to its surrounding nations. Israel operates for its self-interest, not in a role to bless its neighbors.  (I am not intending this as a critical comment. All current nations seek their self-interest.) The Israel of today is a secular state, not a theocracy.  The government is not guided by Biblical principles. As such, how can current Israel be the representative of end time prophecy?

My conclusion is that we are not seeing the fulfillment of Biblical prophecy in the State of Israel today.

But God keeps His own counsel. All Scripture is God-breathed, and all will indeed be brought to completion. The Lord always surprises. He knows the end from the beginning. Even with all the Old Testament prophecies, the world was shocked by the coming of Jesus. I doubt we’re clever enough today to predict what He will do next.

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